The average US President has been indicted on 1.54 felony counts.
Only one US President has ever been indicted for felonies, but you can't argue with averages, right?
@LilahTovMoon
Indictments Donald, who gets indicted for 5 new crimes before each meal, is an outlier and shouldn’t have been counted.
@dcoderlt @LilahTovMoon one must be careful choosing outliers to exclude from slice a small data set as 46.
@cestith @LilahTovMoon
Grover Cleveland is the Feb 29th of US presidents
@dcoderlt @LilahTovMoon But he served separate nonconsecutive and had no felony indictments either time. So it's 45 POTUS but 46 administrations they've run.
We could do the same math to include the cabinet, VP, and White House staff for each too if we wanted.
@dcoderlt BEAUTIFUL Spiders Georg reference <3 @LilahTovMoon
@dcoderlt @LilahTovMoon meh, it's just a skewed distribution!
@LilahTovMoon Improperly used statistics can prove anything.
@LilahTovMoon the spiders georg of committing felonies as president.
@LilahTovMoon: I'm not sure you calculated right. I only get 0.81 counts per president, on average.
@riley I was confused at first, too, but I suspect the 1.54 is the 37 federal counts from this round, plus the 34 (non-federal) felony counts from the Manhattan DA's office in April.
@LilahTovMoon “average president has been indicted 1.54 times" factoid actualy (sic) just statistical error. average president has been indicted 0 times. Indictments Danold, who lives in golf motel & does over 10,000 crimes each day, is an outlier adn should not have been counted
@jef @LilahTovMoon If "average" means "mean", as it usually does, then yes, it is N(indictments) / N(presidents) without considering outliers. This is why it isn't that useful a measure. A couple of years ago we found ourselves in line behind Mark Zuckerberg and his wife at a really good BBQ place at Lake Tahoe. The average net worth in that line was in the billions. The median was much lower.
@not2b @jef @LilahTovMoon Does N(presidents) count Grover Cleveland once, or twice?
@mattskala @jef @LilahTovMoon Try it either way, it won't make a huge difference.
@LilahTovMoon Median is still 0.0, at least.
@LilahTovMoon Felonies Donald, who lives in a cave, is an outlier and should not have been counted
@LilahTovMoon my fear is that after this, we settle for 'below average'.
@LilahTovMoon @cstross He is the gold standard for deviation, isn’t he.
@LilahTovMoon Trump is indictments Georg.
@LilahTovMoon averages are, like, really bad in almost all cases more or less for the same reason as this case: various artifacts cause outsized effects.
Medians and percentiles are the only reasonable summary statistics.
(The median president, and even the 90% percentile of presidents, have been indicted 0 times.)
@LilahTovMoon
We knew Trump was a crook long ago. So this tells me much less about him, and a lot about how rigged our justice system is towards the rich & powerful.
@LilahTovMoon “average US President has been indicted on 1.54 felony counts” is actually a statistical error. Felony Georg, who sits in a cave and collects indictments is an outlier and should not be counted
@LilahTovMoon OK, now so median
@LilahTovMoon #DonaldTheDeplorable is an EX-President, and he’ll be indicted with MANY more crimes before #WeThePeople are through with him!
@LilahTovMoon Felonies Don, the Spiders Georg of presidents
@LilahTovMoon and the set has a standard deviation of ~5.3 - truly a five-sigma event (https://home.cern/resources/faqs/five-sigma#:~:text=A%20result%20that%20has%20a,noise%20across%20the%20whole%20range) .
Now I’m wondering if his hair is both a particle and a wave which, upon observation, will collapse the toupee function.
@LilahTovMoon Reminiscent of Spiders Georg
@LilahTovMoon Median would like to argue.
@LilahTovMoon This is case where the median number of indictments is a better choice for a summary stat, of course.